Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 1 September 2023, Friday

Location: Grandstand (New York)


	Ben Shelton		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.38
	1.63	2.36
	1.62	2.46
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.41	Watch
	1.61	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)	2.37 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
59.6%

Aslan Karatsev
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.6%	0%	61.4%

Ben Shelton - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 17 - 38.6%). Karatsev will win (votes: 27 - 61.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karatsev: 47% – 75.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Dominic Thiem - Ben Shelton	Thiem D. retired ✺
28.08.23	Pedro Cachin - Ben Shelton	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Ben Shelton - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 ?WLWL
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Aslan Karatsev - Roberto Carballes Baena	3:1 ✺
28.08.23	Aslan Karatsev - Jiri Lehecka	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
08.08.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.23	Aslan Karatsev - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLL

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