Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Ben Shelton		Learner Tien

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.29
	1.67	2.21	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.78	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.62)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
56.5%

Learner Tien
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Ben Shelton - Learner Tien Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 24 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 Games - Tien (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Tien (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ben Shelton will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ben Shelton will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tien (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 8. Tien is ranked ATP: 27.

Shelton has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tien has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Shelton will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shelton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ben Shelton - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.67%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Ben Shelton - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
ATP Dallas
15.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Learner Tien
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Adam Walton - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
21.02.26	Tommy Paul - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Learner Tien - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Marin Cilic - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Mallorca
25.06.25	Ben Shelton - Learner Tien	0:2

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