Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Tommy Paul		Learner Tien

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.47	2.68	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.57	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.76)	2.47 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
61.7%

Learner Tien
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Learner Tien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommy Paul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Learner Tien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92%	0%	8%

Tommy Paul - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tommy Paul will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 24. Tien is ranked ATP: 23.

Paul is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tien's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Delray Beach
20.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Adam Walton - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Corentin Moutet - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
12.02.26	Tommy Paul - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW
- Learner Tien
ATP Delray Beach
20.02.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Learner Tien - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Marin Cilic - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
26.01.26	Alexander Zverev - Learner Tien	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW

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