Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event


	Ben Shelton		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.18	4.75	Watch
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.17	5.77
	1.18	4.68	Watch
	1.2	4.5	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.32)	4.95 ↑ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
80.8%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ben Shelton's performance.

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Bautista-Agut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ben Shelton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Bautista-Agut could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	0%	57.9%

Ben Shelton - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bautista-Agut: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Bautista-Agut (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Bautista-Agut (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roberto Bautista-Agut will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bautista-Agut (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 6. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 53.

Shelton has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bautista-Agut has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bautista-Agut may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shelton is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shelton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Ben Shelton - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
ATP Toronto
07.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
06.08.25	Ben Shelton - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Alex De Minaur - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Flavio Cobolli - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 ?WWWW
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
ATP Hopman Cup
18.07.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
28.08.24	Ben Shelton - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:0
ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Ben Shelton	0:3

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