Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Alex De Minaur		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.32	Watch
	1.66	2.36
	1.78	2.07	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.66	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.57)	2.31 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
58.5%

Ben Shelton
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alex De Minaur - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Shelton will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Shelton (votes: 10 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Shelton (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 12.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Shelton (votes: 11 - 73.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8. Shelton is ranked ATP: 7.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

De Minaur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

De Minaur is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Toronto
03.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Christopher OConnell - Alex De Minaur	De Minaur A. walkover ✺
30.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
27.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 W?WWW
- Ben Shelton
ATP Toronto
03.08.25	Flavio Cobolli - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Adrian Mannarino - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
26.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW

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