Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Phoenix 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Benjamin Bonzi		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.31
	1.61	2.43
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.49)	2.29 ↓ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
59.3%

Leandro Riedi
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Benjamin Bonzi - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Riedi will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benjamin Bonzi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 111. Riedi is ranked ATP: 172.

Bonzi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Riedi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Riedi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bonzi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bonzi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.09%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Zizou Bergs	Canceled ✺
10.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Valentin Royer - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?WLWW
- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Leandro Riedi - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Leandro Riedi - Mathis Bondaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Leandro Riedi - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Luca Van Assche - Leandro Riedi	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Leandro Riedi	2:0

Benjamin Bonzi - Leandro Riedi