Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FRANCAVILLA (ITALY), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday


	Benoit Paire		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.33	1.58
	2.54	1.57
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.42	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.96)	1.55 ↓ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benoit Paire
39.2%

Alejandro Tabilo
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benoit Paire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benoit Paire's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Tabilo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benoit Paire, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Benoit Paire - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Paire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tabilo will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tabilo to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benoit Paire
ATP Challenger
13.05.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
12.05.23	Benoit Paire - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
10.05.23	Benoit Paire - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Benoit Paire - Giorgio Tabacco	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	Benoit Paire - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Challenger
13.05.23	Alejandro Tabilo - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
12.05.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
12.05.23	Giovanni Fonio - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
09.05.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL

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