Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FLORIANOPOLIS (BRAZIL), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.14	1.7
	2.22	1.73
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.9)	1.68 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
43.8%

Alejandro Tabilo
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Tabilo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrios Vera in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tabilo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barrios Vera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barrios Vera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
22.04.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
21.04.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
20.04.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Guido Ivan Justo	2:1 ✺
19.04.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Dominik Koepfer - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Challenger
22.04.23	Benjamin Hassan - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
21.04.23	Francisco Comesana - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
20.04.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
19.04.23	Gonzalo Bueno - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.23	Alejandro Tabilo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2

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