Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FRANCAVILLA (ITALY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Benoit Paire

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.49	1.6
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.47	1.51	Watch
	2.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.26)	1.5 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
37%

Benoit Paire
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.

Benoit Paire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benoit Paire's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Lorenzo Giustino - Benoit Paire Predictions

Users Predictions: Benoit Paire will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Paire could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paire will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
12.05.23	Raphael Collignon - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
10.05.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
08.05.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
01.05.23	Benjamin Lock - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
26.04.23	Jiri Vesely - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLL
- Benoit Paire
ATP Challenger
12.05.23	Benoit Paire - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
10.05.23	Benoit Paire - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Benoit Paire - Giorgio Tabacco	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	Benoit Paire - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Benoit Paire - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL

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