Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday


	Benoit Paire		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.78
	1.95	1.83
	2	1.82
	1.97	1.87
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.93	1.8	Watch
	1.96	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.19)	1.8 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Benoit Paire
47.9%

Francesco Passaro
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benoit Paire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benoit Paire's performance.

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benoit Paire that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	0%	68.7%

Benoit Paire - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Paire will win (votes: 10 - 31.3%). Passaro will win (votes: 22 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Passaro: 52.7% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Paire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benoit Paire
ATP Barcelona
16.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Oriol Roca Batalla - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.23	Benoit Paire - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Gregoire Barrere - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.04.23	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Barcelona
19.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Fernando Verdasco	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	Viktor Durasovic - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches