Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Pavel Kotov		Benoit Paire

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.58	2.33
	1.69	2.18
	1.7	2.19
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.57)	2.19 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
57.2%

Benoit Paire
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Benoit Paire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Pavel Kotov - Benoit Paire Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Paire will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paire: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paire is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paire could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Barcelona
15.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
08.04.23	Alexandre Muller - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Christopher OConnell - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
06.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
04.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWW
- Benoit Paire
ATP Barcelona
15.04.23	Oriol Roca Batalla - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.23	Benoit Paire - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Gregoire Barrere - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.04.23	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
29.03.23	Raphael Collignon - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL

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