Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday


	Francesco Passaro		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.55	1.3
	3.4	1.31
	3.55	1.34
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	3.5	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.41)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
27.6%

Francisco Cerundolo
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Francesco Passaro - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Francisco Cerundolo will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Passaro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Fernando Verdasco	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	Viktor Durasovic - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Emilio Nava - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
10.04.23	Cameron Norrie - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
30.03.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
27.03.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWLWW

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