Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 6, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Bernabe Zapata Miralles		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.43
	2.83	1.45
	2.85	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.42	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (1.84)	1.5 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
36.6%

Dennis Novak
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernabe Zapata Miralles's form might have worsened.

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dennis Novak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bernabe Zapata Miralles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dennis Novak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Dennis Novak Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Zapata Miralles (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Novak (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zapata Miralles is ranked ATP: 411. Novak is ranked ATP: 417.

Zapata Miralles has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Novak is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zapata Miralles won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Dennis Novak - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Trey Hilderbrand	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jack Loge	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Dennis Novak - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Dennis Novak - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Gabriele Piraino - Dennis Novak	Piraino G. retired ✺
14.09.25	Syl Gaxherri - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Dennis Novak - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.08.22	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Dennis Novak	2:0
ATP Pune
01.02.22	Dennis Novak - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2
ATP Challenger
14.05.21	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Dennis Novak	2:1

Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide