Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Dennis Novak		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.3
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	3.04	1.33	Watch
			Watch
	3.15	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.7)	1.32 ↑ (1.25)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
29.5%

Roberto Carballes Baena
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

74.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Dennis Novak - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Novak will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novak: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Novak (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dennis Novak will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Novak (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Carballes Baena (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Novak is ranked ATP: 409. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 110.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Carballes Baena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carballes Baena is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Gabriele Piraino - Dennis Novak	Piraino G. retired ✺
14.09.25	Syl Gaxherri - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Dennis Novak - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Dennis Novak - Sandro Kopp	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Dennis Novak - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ?WLWL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Arthur Rinderknech	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 ?LLWL

Dennis Novak - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide