Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday


	Dennis Novak		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.47	2.49	Watch
	1.5	2.63
	1.91	1.83	Watch
	1.5	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)	2.4 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
60.6%

Jelle Sels
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dennis Novak - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: Dennis Novak will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dennis Novak will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Novak is ranked ATP: 399. Sels is ranked ATP: 340.

Novak has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sels has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Novak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Novak might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Dennis Novak - Sandro Kopp	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Dennis Novak - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Dennis Novak - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.25	Mirza Basic - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dennis Novak - Filip Jeff Planinsek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLW
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Eric Vanshelboim - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Jelle Sels - Diego Dedura-Palomero	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Jelle Sels - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Gabriele Piraino - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Raphael Perot - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL

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