Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Urheilu 2


	Bernabe Zapata Miralles		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
			Watch
	4.4	1.16	Watch
	4.08	1.25
	3.69	1.27	Watch
			Watch
	5.02	1.17	Watch
	5.3	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.2)	1.19 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
20.3%

Jesper De Jong
79.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernabe Zapata Miralles's form might have worsened.

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bernabe Zapata Miralles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Zapata Miralles will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). De Jong will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. De Jong (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zapata Miralles is ranked ATP: 380. De Jong is ranked ATP: 93.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Zapata Miralles could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

In this match, De Jong is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Jaime Faria - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Guy Den Ouden - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Tristan Boyer	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Lloyd Harris - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWW

Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jesper De Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide