Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Jesper De Jong		Tristan Boyer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.1
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.39	3.06
	1.35	3.08	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	3.04	Watch
	1.31	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
69.6%

Tristan Boyer
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Tristan Boyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Jesper De Jong - Tristan Boyer Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Boyer will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 94. Boyer is ranked ATP: 122.

Recent matches De Jong is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boyer is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

De Jong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match De Jong is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches De Jong won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Lloyd Harris - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Mariano Navone - Jesper De Jong	Canceled ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWW?L
- Tristan Boyer
ATP Challenger
17.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Tristan Boyer - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
07.04.25	Tristan Boyer - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Tristan Boyer - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.10.24	Tristan Boyer - Jesper De Jong	0:2
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Jesper De Jong - Tristan Boyer	2:0

Jesper De Jong - Tristan Boyer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide