Match Info

Date: 12 September 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bernabe Zapata Miralles		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.87
	1.91	1.8
	1.91	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)	1.85 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
49.6%

Lorenzo Musetti
50.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	0%	58.8%

Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Zapata Miralles will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Musetti will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zapata Miralles is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Musetti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zapata Miralles won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Challenger
06.09.20	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
05.09.20	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
04.09.20	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Andrea Collarini	Zapata Miralles B. retired ✺
03.09.20	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
02.09.20	Yannick Hanfmann - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WW?WW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Challenger
04.09.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
03.09.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
02.09.20	Yannick Maden - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
29.08.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
28.08.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.11.19	Lorenzo Musetti - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0

Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Lorenzo Musetti