Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday

Location: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Max
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1
Usa	Max


	Lorenzo Musetti		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	6	1.13	Watch
	5.25	1.16
	6	1.11	Watch
	6.88	1.13
	6.07	1.14	Watch
	5.5	1.14
	6.35	1.15	Watch
	6	1.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.01 ↑ (4.88)	1.13 ↓ (1.18)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
15.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
84.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

80.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	3.6%	75%

Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Sets - Musetti (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +6.5 Games - Musetti (2.11) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 5 - 50%). Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 7. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 0.

Each of the two players have built a series of wins lately.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.6:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
01.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:1 ✺
30.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Mariano Navone	3:1 ✺
28.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Daniel Elahi Galan	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Yannick Hanfmann	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.25	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
01.06.25	Ben Shelton - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
30.05.25	Damir Dzumhur - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
28.05.25	Fabian Marozsan - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
26.05.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
16.05.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2
ATP Miami
26.03.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP Beijing
01.10.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
04.06.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	3:0
ATP Hamburg
24.07.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2
ATP Challenger
29.08.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2

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