Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday


	Bernard Tomic		Eliot Spizzirri

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.81	1.47
	2.81	1.40	Watch
			Watch
	2.7	1.43	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (1.84)	1.5 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
36.9%

Eliot Spizzirri
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernard Tomic's form might have worsened.

Eliot Spizzirri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eliot Spizzirri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eliot Spizzirri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bernard Tomic - Eliot Spizzirri Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Spizzirri (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spizzirri (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 211. Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 124.

Tomic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Spizzirri's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tomic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tomic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Giles Hussey - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Samir Banerjee - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
20.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
13.07.25	Bernard Tomic - Yibing Wu	Tomic B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWL?
- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Dhakshineswar Suresh - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Rei Sakamoto - Eliot Spizzirri	Sakamoto R. retired ✺
29.07.25	Stefan Dostanic - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.09.24	Bernard Tomic - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1
ITF Tournaments
23.06.24	Eliot Spizzirri - Bernard Tomic	2:1

Bernard Tomic - Eliot Spizzirri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide