Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charleston (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Bernard Tomic		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.68	2.21
	1.64	2.27	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.64	2.18	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 (1.62)	2.2 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
57.6%

Naoki Nakagawa
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Bernard Tomic - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Nakagawa will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakagawa: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 232. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 335.

Tomic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nakagawa is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nakagawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tomic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Denis Kudla - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
13.09.24	Bernard Tomic - Learner Tien	Tomic B. retired ✺
11.09.24	Bernard Tomic - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1 ✺
09.09.24	Bernard Tomic - Micah Braswell	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Andres Andrade - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 W?WWL
- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Henry Lieberman - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Naoki Nakagawa - James Kent Trotter	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Naoki Nakagawa - Kyle Edmund	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	Christopher Eubanks - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
18.09.24	Naoki Nakagawa - Alexander Bernard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWWWW

Bernard Tomic - Naoki Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide