Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Mangione A. (Ita)


	Bernarda Pera		Heather Watson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.22	4
	1.22	3.8	Watch
	1.24	4.2
	1.25	3.75
	1.23	3.92	Watch
	1.23	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)	3.9 ↑ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernarda Pera
76%

Heather Watson
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernarda Pera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bernarda Pera's performance.

Heather Watson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heather Watson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernarda Pera than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernarda Pera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heather Watson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Pera is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Watson is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pera is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernarda Pera
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Emma Navarro - Bernarda Pera	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
24.04.24	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Bernarda Pera	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Bernarda Pera - Renata Zarazua	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Bernarda Pera - Laura Pigossi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.04.24	Bernarda Pera - Clara Tauson	Tauson C. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWW?
- Heather Watson
WTA Charleston
31.03.24	Daria Saville - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Alana Smith - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.24	Oceane Dodin - Heather Watson	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.24	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Heather Watson	Canceled ✺
10.03.24	Taylah Preston - Heather Watson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWL?L

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
22.08.20	Heather Watson - Bernarda Pera	1:2

Bernarda Pera - Heather Watson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide