Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guayaquil 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Bernardo Munk Mesa		Tristan McCormick

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.98
	1.71	2.01	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.06
	1.67	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.84)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernardo Munk Mesa
54.8%

Tristan McCormick
45.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernardo Munk Mesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernardo Munk Mesa than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernardo Munk Mesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan McCormick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Bernardo Munk Mesa - Tristan McCormick Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. McCormick will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Munk Mesa is ranked ATP: 1090., and McCormick is ranked ATP: 656..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

McCormick may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan McCormick - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernardo Munk Mesa
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Mateus Alves - Bernardo Munk Mesa	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Bernardo Munk Mesa - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Bernardo Munk Mesa - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Hernan Casanova - Bernardo Munk Mesa	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Bernardo Munk Mesa - Bruno Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLLWW
- Tristan McCormick
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Jose Pereira - Tristan McCormick	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Tristan McCormick	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Dakotah Bobo - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Tristan McCormick - Lucas Andrade Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan McCormick
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Alan Magadan - Tristan McCormick	✺

Bernardo Munk Mesa - Tristan McCormick: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide