Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Court Suzanne-Lenglen (Paris)


	Karen Khachanov		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.24	3.9
	1.2	4.45
	1.22	5.28
	1.18	4.93	Watch
	1.17	5
	1.23	4.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.36)	4.7 ↑ (3.22)

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
79.6%

Arthur Gea
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karen Khachanov's performance.

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Gea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karen Khachanov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Gea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Karen Khachanov - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 15. Gea is ranked ATP: 140.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Khachanov is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Karen Khachanov - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 70.33%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Hamburg
20.05.26	Ugo Humbert - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Hugo Gaston - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Karen Khachanov	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
13.05.26	Casper Ruud - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Karen Khachanov - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LW?LW
- Arthur Gea
ATP Hamburg
19.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Zizou Bergs - Arthur Gea	Canceled ✺
17.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Mika Petkovic - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Arthur Gea - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 L?WWL

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