Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Arthur Gea		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	2.75	1.40	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.60	1.48
	2.63	1.53
	2.54	1.45	Watch
	2.50	1.50
	2.56	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2)	1.47 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
36.1%

Mark Lajal
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Gea's form might have worsened.

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mark Lajal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Gea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mark Lajal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Arthur Gea - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: Mark Lajal will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 137. Lajal is ranked ATP: 154.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Lajal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lajal might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.26	Karen Khachanov - Arthur Gea	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Zizou Bergs - Arthur Gea	Canceled ✺
17.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLL?W
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Mark Lajal - Michael Zheng	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Mark Lajal - Paul Jubb	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Mark Lajal - Anton Matusevich	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Harry Wendelken - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches