Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Billy Harris		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.79	1.46
	2.7	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.5)	1.43 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billy Harris
34.5%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billy Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Billy Harris's performance.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billy Harris than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Billy Harris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Billy Harris - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harris: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Harris (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Barrios Vera (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Harris (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Harris (votes: 3 - 75%). Barrios Vera (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Harris is ranked ATP: 102. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 128.

Harris is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barrios Vera is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Harris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barrios Vera is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Barrios Vera will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billy Harris
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Ethan Quinn - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.25	Billy Harris - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Billy Harris - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Jerome Kym - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Marco Trungelliti - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Martin Landaluce - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Jurij Rodionov - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWW

Billy Harris - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide