Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Marco Trungelliti		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.44	1.6
	2.41	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.58	Watch
	2.26	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.25)	1.57 (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
40.6%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Marco Trungelliti - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Barrios Vera (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Barrios Vera (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 189. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 128.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barrios Vera will have a small advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Trungelliti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWL
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Martin Landaluce - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Jurij Rodionov - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
14.04.25	Michael Mmoh - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
10.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Michael Mmoh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.06.24	Marco Trungelliti - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.22	Marco Trungelliti - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0

Marco Trungelliti - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide