Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ALICANTE (SPAIN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday


	Billy Harris		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.4	1.6
	2.38	1.53
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.96)	1.54 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billy Harris
39.2%

Pedro Martinez Portero
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billy Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Billy Harris's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billy Harris than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Billy Harris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	0%	19%

Billy Harris - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 17 - 81%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harris: 64.2% – 97.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Harris is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Martinez Portero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Harris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Martinez Portero will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billy Harris
ATP Challenger
03.10.23	Billy Harris - Altug Celikbilek	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Billy Harris - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Billy Harris - Illya Maksymchuk	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Billy Harris - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
18.09.23	Mathias Bourgue - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
02.10.23	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
18.09.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Oriol Roca Batalla	1:2 ✺
06.09.23	Elias Ymer - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
05.09.23	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLW

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