Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BAD WALTERSDORF (AUSTRIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 September 2023, Monday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.59
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)	2.45 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
61.7%

Jan Choinski
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Choinski will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Choinski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Martinez Portero will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Oriol Roca Batalla	1:2 ✺
06.09.23	Elias Ymer - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
05.09.23	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Stefano Napolitano - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Jan Choinski - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Jan Choinski - Pedro Cachin	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Titouan Droguet - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 L?LWW

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