Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2 (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday


	Blake Ellis		Omar Jasika

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.18	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.47)	1.62 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
42.4%

Omar Jasika
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blake Ellis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Omar Jasika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Blake Ellis - Omar Jasika Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ellis will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Jasika will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ellis: 59.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 317. Jasika is ranked ATP: 208.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ellis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jasika will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ellis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
30.01.25	Blake Ellis - Marek Gengel	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Blake Ellis - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
27.01.25	Li Tu - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
09.01.25	Dominik Koepfer - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
08.01.25	Blake Ellis - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWLW
- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
31.01.25	Omar Jasika - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	James McCabe - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Christian Langmo - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
27.01.25	Jacob Bradshaw - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.25	Hugo Gaston - Omar Jasika	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.10.24	Omar Jasika - Blake Ellis	2:0
ITF Tournaments
23.11.22	Omar Jasika - Blake Ellis	2:1
ATP Challenger
26.10.22	Blake Ellis - Omar Jasika	0:2
ITF Tournaments
11.10.22	Blake Ellis - Omar Jasika	2:1

Upcoming Matches