Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Botic Van De Zandschulp		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.48	1.54
	2.45	1.57
	2.51	1.6
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.53	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.75)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp
38.6%

Daniel Evans
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botic Van De Zandschulp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botic Van De Zandschulp that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Evans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	0%	43.5%

Botic Van De Zandschulp - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Van De Zandschulp will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Evans will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van De Zandschulp: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Evans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Evans will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Jordan Thompson	Van De Zandschulp B. retired ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Omni Kumar - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
24.07.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Botic Van De Zandschulp	3:1 ✺
06.07.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?L?LW
- Daniel Evans
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Daniel Evans	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.23	Daniel Evans - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
08.08.23	Gabriel Diallo - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
06.08.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWW

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