Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: CINCINNATI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday


	Daniel Evans		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.78
	2.05	1.77
	2.11	1.73
	2.18	1.75
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.14	1.71	Watch
	2.08	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.24)	1.74 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Evans
45.4%

Lorenzo Musetti
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Evans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	0%	32.4%

Daniel Evans - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). Musetti will win (votes: 11 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Evans: 51.9% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Evans is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Musetti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Musetti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Evans won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Evans
ATP Toronto
08.08.23	Gabriel Diallo - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
06.08.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
04.08.23	Daniel Evans - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
04.08.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWWWW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Toronto
10.08.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
09.08.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:1 ✺
07.08.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
28.07.23	Laslo Djere - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
27.07.23	Jozef Kovalik - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
19.04.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Daniel Evans	2:0
ATP Cagliari
08.04.21	Daniel Evans - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2

Daniel Evans - Lorenzo Musetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide