Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday


	Botic Van De Zandschulp		Luca Nardi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.55
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.47	2.73
	1.48	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.43	2.69	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.42)	2.65 ↓ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp
64.5%

Luca Nardi
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botic Van De Zandschulp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Botic Van De Zandschulp - Luca Nardi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 67. Nardi is ranked ATP: 88.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Van De Zandschulp could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Van De Zandschulp will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Tokyo
22.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
12.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Jack Draper	0:3 ✺
29.08.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WLWLW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Tokyo
22.09.24	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.24	Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Marc Polmans - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Kris van Wyk - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW

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