Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hangzhou (China) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	10:00	Max Sport 1
Finland	10:00	MTV Katsomo
Netherlands	09:00	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
Portugal	08:00	Sport TV6


	Luca Nardi		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.59	1.55
	2.61	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.9	1.42	Watch
	2.55	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.25)	1.51 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
36.9%

Fabian Marozsan
63.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Nardi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Marozsan will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 87. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 49.

Two players are playing changeable.

Marozsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marozsan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nardi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
14.09.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Marc Polmans - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Kris van Wyk - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Jie Cui - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Luca Nardi - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWL
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
27.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Hamad Medjedovic	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	Learner Tien - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Ben Shelton - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan	1:2

Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan