Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Newport (USA), grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Borghei A. (Irn)


	Brandon Nakashima		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.84
	1.32	3.55	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.3	3.63	Watch
	1.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.44)	3.57 ↑ (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
73.3%

Alex Bolt
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Bolt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	0%	31.6%

Brandon Nakashima - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Bolt will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Nakashima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bolt is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bolt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nakashima will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Newport
16.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	1:3 ✺
03.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Jordan Thompson	3:0 ✺
01.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Brandon Nakashima	0:3 ✺
ATP London
20.06.24	Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL
- Alex Bolt
ATP Newport
16.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
15.07.24	Alex Bolt - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Seong Chan Hong - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Alex Bolt - Casper Ruud	0:3 ✺
27.06.24	Alex Bolt - Leandro Riedi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLW

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