Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Brandon Nakashima		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.40	2.90
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.43	2.74	Watch
	1.45	2.85
	1.46	2.78	Watch
	1.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.31)	2.77 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
65.9%

Ugo Humbert
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brandon Nakashima's form might have worsened.

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ugo Humbert's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Humbert will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 17., and Humbert is ranked ATP: 32..

Nakashima has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nakashima may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Nakashima for this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Nakashima has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:9 (averaging 0.8:1.8 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 71.15%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alex Michelsen	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Baez	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
22.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Ugo Humbert - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Ugo Humbert - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
30.07.26	Ugo Humbert - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Ugo Humbert - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Zizou Bergs	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
28.10.24	Ugo Humbert - Brandon Nakashima	2:1
ATP Tokyo
27.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	1:3
ATP Roma
07.05.22	Ugo Humbert - Brandon Nakashima	0:2
ATP US Open
23.08.18	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2

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