Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Newport (USA), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Ducci J. (Chi)


	Jakub Mensik		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.59	2.33	Watch
	1.66	2.33
	1.62	2.36	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.36	Watch
	1.6	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)	2.34 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
59.4%

Alex Bolt
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Jakub Mensik - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Bolt will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Mensik is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bolt is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bolt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mensik will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
27.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
26.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
25.06.24	Christopher Eubanks - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
15.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL
- Alex Bolt
ATP Newport
15.07.24	Alex Bolt - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Seong Chan Hong - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Alex Bolt - Casper Ruud	0:3 ✺
27.06.24	Alex Bolt - Leandro Riedi	3:2 ✺
26.06.24	Alex Bolt - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW

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