Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday


	Brandon Nakashima		Bernabe Zapata Miralles

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.32	3.4
	1.31	3.3
	1.34	3.54
	1.36	3.1
	1.31	3.45	Watch
	1.32	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.43)	3.39 ↑ (2.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
72%

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernabe Zapata Miralles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Brandon Nakashima - Bernabe Zapata Miralles Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Zapata Miralles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nakashima is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Beijing
25.09.23	Brandon Nakashima - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Laslo Djere - Brandon Nakashima	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.23	Brandon Nakashima - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
22.08.23	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLLW
- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Astana
28.09.23	Egor Gerasimov - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Adrian Andreev - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
17.09.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
13.09.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.10.21	Brandon Nakashima - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0
07.02.21	Brandon Nakashima - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0

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