Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Arthur Fils		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.45	Watch
	1.31	3.8
	1.28	3.65	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.33	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)	3.56 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
73.2%

Brandon Nakashima
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Nakashima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Nakashima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96%	0%	4%

Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Nakashima (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Nakashima (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (24 of 24 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Fils will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 3 - 60%). Nakashima (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Change in tournament draw.

Fils is ranked ATP: 30. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fils is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fils won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Arthur Fils - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Tommy Paul - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 W?LWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	Canceled ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Martin Damm - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
13.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	Canceled
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	2:0
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	1:2
ATP Lyon
26.05.23	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:1

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