Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Laslo Djere		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.47
	2.77	1.45
	3.05	1.43
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.79	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.24)	1.46 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laslo Djere
34.7%

Brandon Nakashima
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laslo Djere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laslo Djere's form might have worsened.

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laslo Djere than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laslo Djere, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Laslo Djere - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Djere will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Nakashima will win (votes: 12 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nakashima will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laslo Djere
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.23	Laslo Djere - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	Laslo Djere - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Laslo Djere - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Laslo Djere - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
04.08.23	Laslo Djere - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.23	Brandon Nakashima - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
22.08.23	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Brandon Nakashima - Jason Kubler	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.23	Brandon Nakashima - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
07.08.23	Brandon Nakashima - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLL

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