Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Brandon Nakashima		Fernando Verdasco

	1	2
			Watch
	1.16	4.75
	1.14	5.8	Watch
	1.13	5
	1.15	5.56
	1.14	5
	1.15	5.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.36)	5.25 ↑ (2.92)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
82.1%

Fernando Verdasco
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.

Fernando Verdasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fernando Verdasco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brandon Nakashima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fernando Verdasco than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fernando Verdasco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brandon Nakashima - Fernando Verdasco Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Verdasco is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Indian Wells
10.10.21	Brandon Nakashima - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
08.10.21	Federico Coria - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP San Diego
29.09.21	Andrey Rublev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
27.09.21	Fabio Fognini - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.21	Brandon Nakashima - Alex Molcan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL
- Fernando Verdasco
ATP Challenger
13.10.21	Constant Lestienne - Fernando Verdasco	2:1 ✺
11.10.21	Nicola Kuhn - Fernando Verdasco	0:2 ✺
05.10.21	Fernando Verdasco - Andreas Seppi	0:2 ✺
29.09.21	Fernando Verdasco - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
29.09.21	Fernando Verdasco - Feliciano Lopez	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLL?

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