Match Info

Date: 1 September 2021, Wednesday


	Brandon Nakashima		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.28	3.6
	1.28	3.7	Watch
	1.26	3.7
	1.3	3.91
	1.28	3.6	Watch
	1.27	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.37)	3.78 ↑ (3.08)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
74.8%

Alex Molcan
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Molcan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	0%	10.7%

Brandon Nakashima - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Recent matches Nakashima is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Molcan is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Molcan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nakashima is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP US Open
30.08.21	John Isner - Brandon Nakashima	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.21	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
05.08.21	Denis Kudla - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
04.08.21	Brandon Nakashima - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
03.08.21	Brandon Nakashima - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW
- Alex Molcan
ATP US Open
30.08.21	Alex Molcan - Cem Ilkel	3:1 ✺
27.08.21	Gastao Elias - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
26.08.21	Zdenek Kolar - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
24.08.21	Kimmer Coppejans - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.08.21	Alex Molcan - Shintaro Mochizuki	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWW?

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