Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD


	Brandon Nakashima		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	2.50	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.50	1.53	Watch
	2.62	1.58
	2.49	1.56	Watch
	2.55	1.54	Watch
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.45	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.41)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
38.1%

Taylor Harry Fritz
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Brandon Nakashima - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33. Fritz is ranked ATP: 10.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Fritz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fritz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Fritz will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Washington
31.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
18.07.26	Nick Kyrgios - Brandon Nakashima	1:3 ✺
17.07.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Brandon Nakashima	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWL
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Washington
31.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
08.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
06.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
11.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	1:2
ATP Indian Wells
10.10.21	Brandon Nakashima - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	3:1
Exhibition Hawaii Open Men
27.12.19	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	0:2

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