Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Washington 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Brandon Nakashima		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.66
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.64
	2.3	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.91)	1.63 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
41.9%

Jakub Mensik
58.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brandon Nakashima's form might have worsened.

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jakub Mensik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	0%	79.2%

Brandon Nakashima - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33. Mensik is ranked ATP: 17.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
18.07.26	Nick Kyrgios - Brandon Nakashima	1:3 ✺
17.07.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Brandon Nakashima	3:2 ✺
16.07.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Brandon Nakashima	1:3 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWL
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Trevor Svajda - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Jakub Mensik - Grigor Dimitrov	1:3 ✺
30.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Toby Samuel	3:2 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
25.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
09.01.24	Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima	2:0
ATP Challenger
05.01.24	Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Brandon Nakashima - Matteo Berrettini	✺

Brandon Nakashima - Jakub Mensik