Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Washington 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Brandon Nakashima		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	1.36	3.20	Watch
	1.36	3.10	Watch
	1.41	2.95	Watch
	1.41	3.21
	1.39	2.9	Watch
	1.38	3.15	Watch
	1.41	3.02	Watch
	1.37	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)	3.07 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
68.9%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomas Martin Etcheverry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brandon Nakashima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomas Martin Etcheverry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Brandon Nakashima - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Nakashima (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 31.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nakashima is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nakashima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
18.07.26	Nick Kyrgios - Brandon Nakashima	1:3 ✺
17.07.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Brandon Nakashima	3:2 ✺
16.07.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Brandon Nakashima	1:3 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:3 ✺
30.06.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jack Pinnington Jones	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
15.07.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
18.04.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Brandon Nakashima	2:1

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