Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Fratta A. (Ita)


	Brandon Nakashima		Yoshihito Nishioka

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.48	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.6
	1.54	2.6
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.56	Watch
	1.46	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.73)	2.56 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
63.2%

Yoshihito Nishioka
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.

Yoshihito Nishioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yoshihito Nishioka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brandon Nakashima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yoshihito Nishioka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.3%	0%	14.7%

Brandon Nakashima - Yoshihito Nishioka Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nakashima will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
07.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
06.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLW
- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
08.05.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Nuno Borges - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
21.02.20	Brandon Nakashima - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2

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