Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Germani A. (Ita)


	Miomir Kecmanovic		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.78	2.05	Watch
	1.81	2.09
	1.81	2.09
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.11	Watch
	1.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	2.09 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miomir Kecmanovic
54.2%

Brandon Nakashima
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miomir Kecmanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miomir Kecmanovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Nakashima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.3%	0%	25.7%

Miomir Kecmanovic - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Kecmanovic will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). Nakashima will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kecmanovic: 59.8% – 88.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Kecmanovic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nakashima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kecmanovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kecmanovic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
19.04.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	David Goffin - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Roma
07.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
06.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
01.05.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Los Cabos
04.08.22	Miomir Kecmanovic - Brandon Nakashima	2:0

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