Match Info

Date: 4 March 2020, Wednesday


	Brandon Nakashima		Yuichi Sugita

	1	2
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.41	2.88	Watch
	1.35	2.88
	1.37	3.15
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.37	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)	2.83 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
66.9%

Yuichi Sugita
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Yuichi Sugita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuichi Sugita than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Brandon Nakashima - Yuichi Sugita Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Sugita will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sugita: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Challenger
03.03.20	Liam Broady - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
21.02.20	Brandon Nakashima - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
19.02.20	Cameron Norrie - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
17.02.20	Jiri Vesely - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.20	Michael Mmoh - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL
- Yuichi Sugita
ATP Dubai
23.02.20	Yuichi Sugita - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
22.02.20	Yuichi Sugita - Petros Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.20	Benjamin Bonzi - Yuichi Sugita	2:1 ✺
13.02.20	Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha - Yuichi Sugita	0:2 ✺
11.02.20	Vaclav Safranek - Yuichi Sugita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWW

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