Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Bu Yunchaokete		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.85	1.96	Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.83	2.01
	1.87	1.98	Watch
	1.8	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.12)	1.97 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
51.8%

Casper Ruud
48.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bu Yunchaokete's performance.

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casper Ruud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bu Yunchaokete that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casper Ruud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Bu Yunchaokete - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Ruud will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunchaokete: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunchaokete (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 93., and Ruud is ranked ATP: 24..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Ruud could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Yunchaokete has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Luca Van Assche - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
02.10.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
27.09.26	Roman Safiullin - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW
- Casper Ruud
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Casper Ruud - Jie Cui	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Casper Ruud - Rigele Te	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Casper Ruud	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LW?W?

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
26.08.24	Casper Ruud - Bu Yunchaokete	3:0

Bu Yunchaokete - Casper Ruud