Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.38	1.56	Watch
	2.42	1.54	Watch
	2.4	1.6
	2.39	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)	1.57 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
39.7%

Bu Yunchaokete
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunchaokete (votes: 2 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Yunchaokete Bu (1.67) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Bu Yunchaokete will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 53., and Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 104..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Yunchaokete may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Yunchaokete is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Cerundolo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Chengdu
26.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Gea	2:3 ✺
01.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Casper Ruud	Canceled ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
27.08.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWL?L
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Hangzhou
27.09.26	Roman Safiullin - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Michael Zheng	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Michael Zheng	1:3 ✺
02.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Bu Yunchaokete	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1

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